Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.004256 0.004479 0.004708 0.004961 0.005234 0.005518 0.005839
2025-08-31 0.003845 0.004172 0.004522 0.004927 0.005384 0.005886 0.006482
2025-09-07 0.003563 0.003943 0.004362 0.004861 0.005444 0.006105 0.006922
2025-09-14 0.003342 0.003756 0.004223 0.004792 0.005473 0.006269 0.007283
2025-09-21 0.003204 0.003650 0.004162 0.004799 0.005580 0.006518 0.007748
2025-09-28 0.003002 0.003454 0.003982 0.004649 0.005482 0.006503 0.007873
2025-10-05 0.002899 0.003370 0.003928 0.004646 0.005558 0.006701 0.008273
2025-10-12 0.002848 0.003345 0.003942 0.004722 0.005735 0.007031 0.008861
2025-10-19 0.002749 0.003255 0.003870 0.004686 0.005762 0.007163 0.009185
2025-10-26 0.002663 0.003178 0.003810 0.004660 0.005796 0.007303 0.009525
2025-11-02 0.002581 0.003101 0.003747 0.004626 0.005817 0.007423 0.009838
2025-11-09 0.002552 0.003091 0.003768 0.004701 0.005987 0.007754 0.010475
2025-11-16 0.002484 0.003029 0.003720 0.004683 0.006029 0.007909 0.010863
2025-11-23 0.002415 0.002963 0.003664 0.004651 0.006049 0.008032 0.011211
2025-11-30 0.002339 0.002885 0.003589 0.004590 0.006024 0.008087 0.011453
2025-12-07 0.002266 0.002809 0.003515 0.004526 0.005991 0.008125 0.011667
2025-12-14 0.002224 0.002773 0.003492 0.004533 0.006060 0.008319 0.012144
2025-12-21 0.002132 0.002666 0.003369 0.004394 0.005908 0.008167 0.012038
2025-12-28 0.002092 0.002629 0.003342 0.004391 0.005957 0.008328 0.012466
2026-01-04 0.002080 0.002630 0.003367 0.004462 0.006120 0.008675 0.013237
2026-01-11 0.002033 0.002582 0.003321 0.004428 0.006122 0.008762 0.013555
2026-01-18 0.001992 0.002540 0.003283 0.004404 0.006135 0.008869 0.013915
2026-01-25 0.001950 0.002496 0.003240 0.004372 0.006136 0.008954 0.014239